Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 6.011196 6.688711 7.463479 8.427536 9.613395 11.050396 12.966394
2025-11-16 4.912371 5.758236 6.817840 8.288208 10.358889 13.323925 18.244904
2025-11-23 4.389894 5.322295 6.563753 8.426465 11.341642 16.168819 26.181759
2025-11-30 3.987686 4.948255 6.283376 8.405857 12.016440 18.798707 36.440270
2025-12-07 3.583398 4.508078 5.826919 8.000173 11.903444 19.913123 44.927163
2025-12-14 3.254484 4.134823 5.414126 7.579056 11.632438 20.566273 53.531602
2025-12-21 3.072852 3.953031 5.263031 7.558265 12.103701 23.201451 77.299435
2025-12-28 2.906922 3.777515 5.098820 7.482122 12.437317 25.739341 114.801710
2026-01-04 2.716906 3.550546 4.829749 7.175741 12.194609 26.481115 147.872602
2026-01-11 2.607389 3.437302 4.732794 7.171925 12.637575 29.840109 278.579895
2026-01-18 2.546246 3.393046 4.743397 7.372191 13.634013 36.393003 1459.948978
2026-01-25 2.681075 3.666251 5.321263 8.829036 18.712964 77.308080 NaN
2026-02-01 2.572348 3.549826 5.222923 8.883658 19.925992 104.617968 NaN
2026-02-08 2.422969 3.358980 4.976264 8.572985 19.821579 120.848573 NaN
2026-02-15 2.342555 3.277304 4.923367 8.708408 21.493786 194.187672 NaN
2026-02-22 2.252657 3.172423 4.814677 8.685949 22.571811 309.207018 NaN
2026-03-01 2.128300 3.000663 4.561968 8.258236 21.657905 324.260951 NaN
2026-03-08 2.011997 2.837215 4.314716 7.815063 20.526838 312.063455 NaN
2026-03-15 1.948511 2.761957 4.234393 7.793204 21.388381 552.736252 NaN
2026-03-22 1.884265 2.681731 4.137700 7.713165 21.951807 1091.495560 NaN
2026-03-29 1.801203 2.564613 3.959672 7.391370 21.119114 1151.152819 NaN
2026-04-05 1.754059 2.508680 3.900887 7.387365 22.024793 6497.710700 NaN
2026-04-12 1.729396 2.491127 3.918135 7.597655 24.374358 NaN NaN